Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown

4

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in its recent economic outlook, revised Australia's GDP growth projection for 2024 downwards-from an anticipated 1.5% growth to a more conservative 1.1%. Looking further ahead, it forecasts a gradual recovery with an expected GDP increase of 1.8% by 2025.

Despite these projections, Australia's population growth of 2.4% for the year ending June 2024 tends to exacerbate the per capita recession, hinting that this economic hardship might persist beyond previous expectations. The ramifications of these economic conditions are predominately felt by average households.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's steadfast approach in raising interest rates has placed a substantial burden on household budgets. This has led to a 2.4% reduction in household consumption from its apex in real per capita terms.

More noticeably, real per capita household disposable income plunged by an unprecedented 8% from its earlier highs. This constitutes the steepest decline observed in contemporary economic analysis according to recent statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

August figures from the ABS Household Spending Indicator reported stagnant spending in nominal terms, succeeding prior decreases of 0.5% in July and 0.1% in June. Robert Ewing, head of business statistics at ABS, observed, "Growth in household spending has stalled at the start of the financial year, even as the Federal government's Stage 3 tax cuts came into effect on 1 July".

An analytical depiction by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, matched ABS Household Spending Indicator data with household consumption figures from quarterly national accounts. The analysis suggests a persisting frailty in these accounts throughout Q3, indicating that the current recession per capita is far from over.

The new policies, including the Stage 3 tax cuts designed to boost economic engagement and consumer spending, appear to have offered limited relief as the economy remains dormant. Acknowledging information from the original source, The OECD Digest, it's evident that while several measures are in play, the anticipated economic rejuvenation remains elusive.

Published:Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Isuzu Australia Introduces Dedicated Financial Services for Truck Buyers

23 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

In a strategic move to bolster its customer support offerings, Isuzu Australia Limited (IAL) has announced the establishment of Isuzu Financial Services Australia (IFSA). This initiative marks the first time the Isuzu Group has founded a leasing company outside Japan, reflecting a significant commitment to the Australian market. - read more

Geely's Farizon Electric Trucks Make Australian Debut

23 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

Chinese automotive giant Geely Auto has announced its entry into the Australian light commercial vehicle market through its Farizon brand, specialising in electric commercial vehicles. This move signifies a notable expansion of electric vehicle (EV) offerings in Australia's commercial sector. - read more

CEFC and Volvo Group Collaborate to Accelerate Electric Truck Adoption in Australia

23 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

The Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) has partnered with Volvo Group to introduce a $70 million financing package aimed at accelerating the adoption of heavy-duty battery electric trucks (HD BEVs) in Australia. This initiative seeks to address the substantial transport-related emissions by facilitating the transition to cleaner vehicle technologies. - read more

Introducing Marinex Underwriting: A New Era in Australian Marine Insurance

21 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

Australia's marine insurance landscape has welcomed a significant new player with the launch of Marinex Underwriting. This specialised marine underwriting agency aims to address the complex insurance needs of the Australian marine sector, offering tailored solutions backed by global specialty insurance distributor Amwins. - read more

GT Insurance: Navigating Trade Challenges with Flexible Marine Insurance Solutions

21 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

In response to recent shifts in global trade dynamics, GT Insurance is reaffirming its commitment to supporting Australian marine clients navigating these challenges. The imposition of US tariffs-25% on Australian steel and aluminium, and 10% on other exported goods-has introduced new uncertainties for local exporters, particularly in sectors like beef and bulk freight. These tariffs, effective from April 5, 2025, have prompted concerns about declining export volumes and reduced freight margins. - read more

Click for more Finance News